Bet smarter
Bet smarter
on weather.
on weather.
One forecast is not enough. What matters is the probability across many forecasts.
One forecast is not enough. What matters is the probability across many forecasts.
No code. No APIs. No spreadsheets.
No code. No APIs. No spreadsheets.
Find the weather signal before the market moves.
Find the weather signal before the market moves.
5-Star Customer Rated
Trusted by hundreds of uses.
5-Star Customer Rated
Trusted by hundreds of uses.
Smarter weather
Smarter weather
gambling
gambling
See when Kumo’s forecast agrees or disagrees with the market.
11
11
Weather Models
Weather Models
77
77
Ensemble Members
Ensemble Members
1
1
Clear Market View
Clear Market View
Stop guessing.
Stop guessing.
Ask Kumo.
Ask Kumo.
Turn weather forecasts into clear probabilities for weather gambling.
Highest temperature in Phoenix today?
Highest temperature in Phoenix today?
60° or above
52° to 59°
Lowest temperature in Washington DC today?
Lowest temperature in Washington DC today?
45° to 46°
41° to 44°
Rain in San Francisco this month?
Rain in San Francisco this month?
Above 1 inch
Above 2 inches
Lowest temperature in Seattle today?
Lowest temperature in Seattle today?
46° to 47°
44° to 45°
Highest temperature in London today?
Highest temperature in London today?
75° or above
70° to 74°
Rainfall in Tokyo today?
Rainfall in Tokyo today?
Above 1 inch
0.5 to 1 inch
Find where
Find where
Kumo disagrees with
the market
Kumo disagrees with the market
Kumo disagrees with the market
See Kumo’s probability for each weather outcome range
and compare it with the market-implied chance.
See Kumo’s probability for each weather outcome range and compare it with the market-implied chance.
Powered by Kumo’s proprietary forecast built from
11 weather models and 77 ensemble members.
Powered by Kumo’s proprietary forecast built from 11 weather models and 77 ensemble members.
USE KUMO TO :
USE KUMO TO :
See probability by range
Check Kumo’s chance for each weather outcome traded in prediction markets.
See probability by range
Check Kumo’s chance for each weather outcome traded in prediction markets.
Compare Kumo vs. the market
Spot where Kumo’s forecast probability is higher or lower than the market-implied chance.
Compare Kumo vs. the market
Spot where Kumo’s forecast probability is higher or lower than the market-implied chance.
Ask why in chat
Ask Kumo what is driving the forecast. It analyzes the data and explains why.
Ask why in chat
Ask Kumo what is driving the forecast. It analyzes the data and explains why.
Easy to ask.
Easy to ask.
Powerful to trade.
Powerful to trade.
Why weather traders
Why weather traders
choose Kumo
choose Kumo
See the probability. Compare the market. Ask why.
Probability by range
Kumo estimates the chance of each traded weather outcome.
Probability by range
Kumo estimates the chance of each traded weather outcome.
Kumo vs. market
See where Kumo’s forecast disagrees with the market-implied chance.
Kumo vs. market
See where Kumo’s forecast disagrees with the market-implied chance.
Built on 11 models + 77 members
A proprietary forecast built from multiple weather signals.
Built on 11 models + 77 members
A proprietary forecast built from multiple weather signals.
Explained in chat
Ask Kumo what is driving the outcome and get a clear answer.
Explained in chat
Ask Kumo what is driving the outcome and get a clear answer.
Pricing
Pricing
Features Included:
Try Kumo on a real weather question
Explore weather analysis in chat
Test how Kumo explains forecasts and uncertainty
Features Included:
Unlimited queries
Forecast comparison across 40+ weather models
Chance estimates and uncertainty analysis
Real-time observed weather from official U.S. NWS stations
CSV upload for observed weather data
Historical forecast error analysis
Help building your own bias correction workflow
Email support
Features Included:
Try Kumo on a real weather question
Explore weather analysis in chat
Test how Kumo explains forecasts and uncertainty
Features Included:
Unlimited queries
Forecast comparison across 40+ weather models
Chance estimates and uncertainty analysis
Real-time observed weather from official U.S. NWS stations
CSV upload for observed weather data
Historical forecast error analysis
Help building your own bias correction workflow
Email support
Features Included:
Try Kumo on a real weather question
Explore weather analysis in chat
Test how Kumo explains forecasts and uncertainty
Features Included:
Unlimited queries
Forecast comparison across 40+ weather models
Chance estimates and uncertainty analysis
Real-time observed weather from official U.S. NWS stations
CSV upload for observed weather data
Historical forecast error analysis
Help building your own bias correction workflow
Email support
Disclaimer
Kumo Market provides weather analytics and educational information only.
Kumo Market provides weather analytics and educational information only.
Kumo Market does not provide financial, investment, betting, gambling, legal, or tax advice. Kumo Market does not recommend whether you should enter, exit, buy, sell, hold, or avoid any prediction market position.
Kumo Market does not provide financial, investment, betting, gambling, legal, or tax advice. Kumo Market does not recommend whether you should enter, exit, buy, sell, hold, or avoid any prediction market position.
All prediction market and gambling activity involves risk. You are solely responsible for your own decisions and outcomes. Kumo, SoranoAI, and their affiliates are not responsible for any losses, winnings, missed opportunities, market outcomes, gambling outcomes, or other results related to your use of Kumo Market.
All prediction market and gambling activity involves risk. You are solely responsible for your own decisions and outcomes. Kumo, SoranoAI, and their affiliates are not responsible for any losses, winnings, missed opportunities, market outcomes, gambling outcomes, or other results related to your use of Kumo Market.